• 238 views | 6 messages Discussion: LEAP
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  • Hasret Sahin 11/27/2013

    2237 Views

    Hi Taylor,
    I am planning to do my thesis on the Turkish public electricity sector. However, this sector is still under privatization and I have electricity generation data for the public sector. Is it possible to use LEAP just the only public sector ( not including the private sector)? My other question about energy balances of Turkey. I have energy balances values for Turkey ( including both private and public electricity sectors, but the values are not separated). I know that all demand calculations will be done according to general electricity profile of Turkey , but , the establishement data of the transformation part just only includes public sector. Hence, I think that there will be a problem in LEAP because of supply and demand range will be too large. I want to check that it is possible to handle good results in LEAP in this concept and what do you recommend?
    Thanks in advance,
    Hasret

  • Taylor Binnington 12/3/2013
      Best Response

    2235 Views

    Hi Hasret,

    To begin with, LEAP does not necessarily have a problem if supply is not sufficient to meet demand - it will simply import the balance of the fuels required, or let that demand go unmet, depending on how you've set up your model. So the least sophisticated strategy would be to interpret any imported or unmet electricity as a mix of imports or privately generated power, thereby not including any private electricity generation in your model at all. But this doesn't sound quite adequate for your purposes.

    I think that I would begin by doing some spreadsheet analysis, looking at the fuels consumed by the electricity sector (both public and private) from your energy balance sheets. Assuming you know the historical production, as well as power plant characteristics for the public sector (most importantly the input fuels, historical availabilities, and efficiencies), you should be able to make a good guess at the remaining input fuels that are consumed by the private sector.

    Using this information, as well as some educated guessing about the properties of power plants that exist in the private sector, you can let LEAP build power plants endogenously and dispatch them even during the Current Accounts period. You would do this by setting the 'First Simulation Year' variable for these plants equal to the base year for your model. I would guess that you will be able to replicate quite closely the additional electricity generation from the private sector.

    You're certainly correct, though - often, actually using LEAP is only part of the battle. Data availability is something we grapple with on a regular basis! This is just my approach, but hopefully it helps to shed light on the problem.

    Best,

    Taylor

  • Hasret Sahin 12/3/2013
      Best Response

    2229 Views

    Thanks Taylor
  • Hasret Sahin 12/4/2013
      Best Response

    2216 Views

    Hi Taylor,
    I tried to solve problem that I told before. Is it possible to arrange folders in Transformation branch.I want to do like:

    -- Transformation ( main branch)
    --- Electricity Generation Total (sub branch, covering1&2))
    ---- Electricity Generation_private sector (1)
    ----- Electricity Generation public sector (2)

    And that is my first question. When I try to arrange these branches shown in the Figure, the LEAP is added output and process folder automatically and I could not remove them.

    My second question is that if I remove electricity generation total and just put private sector and public sector branch. Is it possible that LEAP calculate electricity generation considering both private and public and Can I see total electricity generation?

    Thanks for your help,
    Hasret
  • Taylor Binnington 12/4/2013
      Best Response

    2215 Views

    Hi Hasret,

    Unfortunately, the Transformation branches in LEAP do not offer quite the same level of organizational flexibility as the Demand branches - you can't organize processes in quite the same hierarchical way as with Demand. A Standard Transformation module has a fixed structure, like this:

    http://www.energycommunity.org/WebHelpPro/Transformation/Schematic_of_Standard_Module.htm

    It's entirely possible, however, to have two or more electricity generation modules under your Transformation branch, if you need them. Just remember that a module's transformation requirements are dictated by the fuel inputs of modules that fall above it - in other words, the ordering of your Transformation modules matters! For example, if you place a module containing public power plants above private, then the public module will attempt to meet all electricity demand. Only the demand that is still unmet will be passed onto the private transformation module below.

    I think that the best suggestion is simply to differentiate each electricity generating process as 'public' or 'private', but within the same transformation module. In Results view, when you look at Transformation:Outputs from this module, you will see the combined (total) electricity generation from both sectors, but you can also display the outputs by individual process if you want more control.

    Good luck,

    Taylor
  • Hasret Sahin 12/9/2013
      Best Response

    2183 Views

    Hi Taylor,
    I wanna edit solution about this problem.As I asked before what will be happen if I separate electricity generation as public and private. LEAP calculated the all branches under electricity generation ( both private and public) and it calculated as total of them.
    Thanks again ,
    Hasret