Topic: Implementing a rough uncertainty analysis for the key results in LEAPSubscribe | Previous | Next
Mukesh Gupta 5/18/2017
Good day,
I would like to know
mso-bidi-font-weight:bold">how to implement a rough uncertainty analysis for
the key results in LEAP without additional input data. Given the level
of approximation I have in my analysis, it would be very useful to have at
least a rough uncertainty analysis for the key results. It would be really great to hear what you say about how to
implement this kind of uncertainty analysis for energy demand and GHG emissions
results in LEAP.
mso-bidi-font-weight:bold">Many thanks,
mso-bidi-font-weight:bold">Mukesh
Taylor Binnington 5/24/2017
1 Like Hi Mukesh,
Have a look at the following threatds for some guidance:
https://www.energycommunity.org/default.asp?action=9&fid=22&TID=3535
https://www.energycommunity.org/default.asp?action=9&fid=22&TID=3372
https://www.energycommunity.org/default.asp?action=9&fid=22&TID=2781
Happy to answer some additional specific questions after, if you wish,
Taylor
Mukesh Gupta 6/1/2017
Thank you Taylor.
One question/observation - Can Scenario Explorer of Overviews in LEAP be used as a tool to represent uncertainty analysis? I think it is very handy tool to show how a range of change in one key uncertainty variable can affect the energy demand and emissions. Do you agree?
Thanks,
Mukesh
Taylor Binnington 6/5/2017
Hi Mukesh - certainly, I would agree that the Scenario Explorer is a useful way to explore the impacts of uncertainties in key input variables. In fact, that's a part of the reason that the capability was designed!
Taylor