• 405 views | 7 messages Discussion: LEAP
    Topic: Transportation exercise : developing future demand and emission scenarios without sales, retirement informationSubscribe | Previous | Next
  • Boram Kim 6/7/2017

    Hello, I'm currently trying to devise energy demand +emission scenarios for 2030 in transportation sector (passenger cars in particular)
    and I have quite a limited information regarding car stocks as I only have numbers for registered car from 2010 to 2016, with no information on sales, or retirement (which should be entered in LEAP)

    Could you please tell me how I can go about it without having to enter sales or retirement information in transportation exercise?


    Thank you!

  • Taylor Binnington 6/13/2017
      Best Response

    1 Like

    Hi Boram,

    From your message, it sounds like you're trying to use LEAP to perform a stock-turnover analysis. This type of analysis is useful because it lets you control the different energy and emissions characteristics of each vehicle in your fleet as it ages, but the approach is quite data-intense.

    If you don't have sufficient supporting data (this includes information about the existing stock of vehicles, their distribution of vintages, how likely a vehicle is to be retired after a number of years, and projected sales), I'd suggest a more basic activity analysis instead. Try working through Exercise 2.2 of our basic training materials (if you haven't already) to give you an idea of how this can work. You may choose any unit of activity that you wish, including simply the number of vehicles on the road.

    Hope this helps,
    Taylor

  • Boram Kim 8/14/2017
      Best Response

    Thank you so much for the support!

    I've looked at the whole thing and am trying to start it all over from normal (non-stock turnover analysis) settings
    but i can't find a space to enter in fuel efficiency which was available in the stock turnover version.

    Do i need to calculate passenger km myself as shown in the attachment image?
    The thing is i have no information on load factor or population etc.

    thanks again!

    Boram


    LEAP-transport.png
  • Emily Ghosh 8/17/2017
      Best Response

    Hi Boram,

    You may want to use vehicle-km instead of passenger-km for the Activity Level variable since you know the number of vehicles. You will need to make an assumption on the annual vehicle-km per vehicle in order to calculate total vehicle-km. A quick Google search revealed a few sources with information on annual vehicle-distance per vehicle that may help get you started(disclaimer: I haven't read these sources in detail):

    You can enter the fuel economy in the final energy intensity variable. Recall that fuel economy is defined as energy consumption per unit of vehicle-distance traveled (or its inverse, in the case of MPG). For example, if you know a vehicle's fuel economy in MPG, then calculate its inverse to find the gallons per mile and enter this value in final energy intensity (you will need to change the units accordingly).

    Also, currently the way your branches are set up, the same final energy intensity (or fuel economy) will apply to all car types (i.e. electric cars will have the same fuel economy as diesel vehicles), even though fuel economy usually differs between car types. Instead of using the green-colored Categories with Energy Intensity folder for the branches labeled "Cars" and "Buses", if you were to use the yellow-colored Categories folder instead, you would be able to enter different fuel economies for each vehicle type (note that you can't actually change the property type of the branches, you will have to re-create your entire structure if you choose to implement this suggestion).

    Hope this helps!

    Emily


  • Boram Kim 8/21/2017
      Best Response

    thank you so much Emily!
    I think i'll be able to get on with it again :)

    cheers

    Boram

  • Prativa Gautam 10/24/2017
      Best Response

    Ii can't find a space to enter Fuel economy in stock turnover method which was available in the activity level version.
  • Emily Ghosh 10/24/2017
      Best Response

    Hi Prativa,

    If you are interested in conducting a transport stock turnover analysis, be sure to add the branch type called "Transport Technology (Stock Turnover Method)" (the branch will have a wheel icon in front of its name). Then, when you click on the transport technology branch in the tree, you should be able to see the Fuel Economy variable. I've included a screenshot for your reference.

    Thanks,
    Emily


    Fuel Economy.PNG