• 144 views | 3 messages Discussion: LEAP
    Topic: Developing of ScenariosSubscribe | Previous | Next
  • Suhail Shaikh 8/16/2017

    Dear All greetings,
    I am working on Electricity demand forecasting for this i have assumed three scenarios high GDP growth rate, Average GDP growth rate and low GDP growth rate so what kind of data is required for these scenarios for pakistan.

  • Emily Ghosh 8/16/2017
      Best Response

    Hi Suhail,

    If you would like to learn how to create scenarios in LEAP, I recommend viewing the tutorial video on Scenario Development, which can be accessed here: https://www.energycommunity.org/default.asp?action=videos

    Also, in case you haven't done so already, I highly recommend reviewing the LEAP training materials which includes exercises involving scenario development: https://www.energycommunity.org/default.asp?action=trainingmaterials

    Lastly, if you are looking for electricity demand forecasting data specific to Pakistan, a quick Google search reveals several recent studies completed using LEAP (disclaimer: I haven't read these in detail myself). Hopefully, this helps get you started:

    • Usama Perwez, Ahmed Sohail, Syed Fahad Hassan, Usman Zia, The long-term forecast of Pakistan's electricity supply and demand: An application of long range energy alternatives planning, Energy, Volume 93, 2015, Pages 2423-2435, ISSN 0360-5442, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.10.103.

    • Usama Perwez, Ahmed Sohail, Forecasting of Pakistan's Net Electricity Energy Consumption on the Basis of Energy Pathway Scenarios, Energy Procedia, Volume 61, 2014, Pages 2403-2411, ISSN 1876-6102, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.12.015.

    Thanks!
    Emily

  • Suhail Shaikh 8/17/2017
      Best Response

    Thanks
    Emily Ghosh