Topic: LEAP transformation result-bigSubscribe | Previous | Next
Alebachew Azezew Belete 8/11/2023
Dear All,
I am working to make long-term projection of the Ethiopian Energy sector and related to i was trying to model the transformation sector from 2015 - 2060 with my base year 2015 and first simulation year starts in 2016. I put the historical production and exogenous capacities(existing and planned ones) as indicated below in different cases but the result is too big, i tied to manage in different ways but it is the same. Any supportive idea.
| Existing power plant Historical productions and Capacities | |||||||||||
| Case 1 | Historical production | Interp(1994, 1354, 1995, 1428, 1996, 1510, 1997, 1566, 1998, 1579, ...until 2014,9013) | |||||||||
| Exogenous capacity | Interp(1994, 377.75, 1995, 450.75, 1996, 377.75, 1997, 668.75, 1998, ...until 2022,4818.12) | ||||||||||
| Planned capacity | In the Baseline mode I put Interp(2025, ...., 2030,....) | ||||||||||
| case 2 | Historical production | 9013 | |||||||||
| Exogenous capacity | Interp(2015, 1940, 2016, 3807, 2017, 3814, 2018, 3814, 2019, 3817, 2020, 4071, 2021, 4818.21, 2022, 4818.21) | ||||||||||
| Planned capacity | In the Baseline mode I put Interp(2025, ...., 2030,....) | ||||||||||
Utsavshree Rajbhandari 8/13/2023
Dear Mr. Belete.
First of all, the data you have shown is not enough to find out what is wrong without your model.
Nevertheless, please re-check your demand side data and it's future projections, because the supply is driven by the demand.
For further support, if possible, please clarify/share your demand growth, the parameters you have used in generation modelling and the results.
Best,
UtsavShree
Alebachew Azezew Belete 8/13/2023
Dear Utsavshree Rajbhandari,
Thank you very much for your nice comment and let me work on it again and i will share you the data i used and the the out put to understand the problem easily.
Nivin S Amin 8/16/2023