• 140 views | 3 messages Discussion: LEAP
    Topic: Energy Demand Forcast Subscribe | Previous | Next
  • Alebachew Azezew Belete 4/22/2024


    Hello, Dear all,

    I want to use some statistical regression methods like applying ARIMA, ARDL or related regression models for Energy demand future forecast. How can i apply such models in LEAP, is there such expressions in LEAP help interface. Any suggestion how can i directly link the future energy demand growth with the GDP, Population and energy intensity. Thank you
  • Muhammad Rizki Kresnawan 4/23/2025
      Best Response

    LEAP does not directly support statistical models like ARIMA or ARDL, so you'll need to perform those regressions in external tools such as R, Python, or Excel to forecast future energy demand based on variables like GDP, population, and energy intensity. Once you have your forecast results, you can input them into LEAP using functions like Interp(...) or by setting up scenario expressions. You can also define GDP, population, and energy intensity as Key Assumptions in LEAP and use your regression coefficients in LEAP expressions to calculate demand. While LEAP can't estimate the models itself, it allows you to integrate their outputs into your scenario analysis framework.

  • Addisu Amare 5/15/2025
      Best Response

    Thank you, dear Muhammad, dear Alebachew,
    This also clarified my concern.